Poll: Biden leads 2020 Democrats by 2 points as Warren surges

Former Vice President Joe Biden holds a slim 2-point lead in the crowded Democratic presidential primary as he fends off a growing challenge from Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), according to a new Emerson College poll.

Biden gets the support of 25 percent of registered voters, a 6-point drop from the same poll in August. Meanwhile, Warren has surged to 23 percent support, an 8-point bump since last month’s survey. Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) rounds out the top three with 22 percent, a 2-point fall from August. 

Entrepreneur Andrew Yang comes in at fourth place at 8 percent, beating out South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg with 6 percent and Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) at 4 percent. 

No other candidate polls higher than 2 percent.

The poll is one of several showing a tightening in the race among the top three candidates, while the rest of the 2020 contenders are relegated to the middle or bottom tiers. However, there is still hope for candidates hoping to improve their standing or overtake Biden — more than 52 percent of respondents said there is a chance they could change their minds.

Biden gets the support of 42 percent of voters aged 50 or older, while Sanders receives the support of 28 percent of voters under 50. Warren has 23 percent support from each group.

Among voters who backed Sanders’s insurgent 2016 primary against Hillary Clinton, 37 percent still support him, while 23 percent back Warren, 10 percent support Biden and 9 percent back Yang.

Looking ahead to the general election, Warren and Biden are the Democratic contenders beating Trump, both by slim margins. Warren holds a 51-49 percent lead over the president, while Biden beats Trump by a 50-49 percent margin. Warren and Trump were tied in August’s poll, while Biden had an 8-point advantage last month.

The Emerson College poll surveyed 1,019 registered voters from Sept. 21 to Sept. 23 and has a margin of error of 3 percentage points.

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